Sina NabiZadeh; Ataollah Ebrahimi; Masoumeh Aghababaei; Iraj Rahimi
Abstract
The land use of the watersheds is one of the most affected and highly vulnerable due to developmental process which effect on the other variables such as the hydrological function. The purpose of this research is to monitor land use changes in the past and to investigate predictability of its future ...
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The land use of the watersheds is one of the most affected and highly vulnerable due to developmental process which effect on the other variables such as the hydrological function. The purpose of this research is to monitor land use changes in the past and to investigate predictability of its future using Land Change Modeler (LCM) in the watershed of Farsan County of Chaharmahal-va-Bakhtiari province. For this purpose, the Landsat-5 TM images of 1986 and 2009 as well as the Landsat-8 OLI images of 2017 were analyzed. Land covers including residential areas, agricultural land, dryland farming, rangelands, rocks, water bodies, bare-land and snow were classified for the three periods. The prediction of land cover of 2017 was done using the LCM model based on Artificial Neural Network and Markov chain analysis after assessing model’s accuracy based on Kappa index. The land cover of 2027 was also predicted using a change probability table extracted from occurred changes from 1986-2017. The results show that the rangeland decreased by 4379-ha in the years 1986 to 2017, but the agricultural land increased by 1922-ha. This study proved that the LCM could accurately forecast future changes (85% overall accuracy). An increase of 149-ha of residential area and 100-ha decrease of rangelands in the study area was predicted for 2027. Therefore, while emphasizing the conservation of rangelands, it is necessary to study and use this technique to predict changes, its causes, as well as the consequences of land use changes at the broader scales.
shahin mohammadi; Hamidreza karimzadeh; saeid pourmanafi; Saeed Soltani
Abstract
Soil is one of the most important production factors that has a great impact on human socio-economic life and the process of soil erosion is one of the environmental issues that threatens the environment, natural resources and agriculture. Spatial and temporal information of the soil loss and soil erosion ...
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Soil is one of the most important production factors that has a great impact on human socio-economic life and the process of soil erosion is one of the environmental issues that threatens the environment, natural resources and agriculture. Spatial and temporal information of the soil loss and soil erosion on the land has a significant role in influencing management practices, soil erosion control and watershed management. Therefore, this study was conducted with the aim of studying the spatial and temporal estimation of soil erosion during 1994, 1999, 2008 and 2015 in the sub-basin of Menderjan with an area of 21100 hectares located in the west of Isfahan province using RS and GIS. In the present study, while conducting field studies, various data and information including the digital elevation model, satellite images, soil, and statistics on rain gauge stations were used as a research tool. Estimation of soil erosion in the study area was carried out using RUSLE Model. The results of this study showed that the amount of soil erosion in 1994, 1999, 2008 and 2015 was 0.001 to 233, 0.001 to 297, 0.001 to 231 and 0.001 to 215 "ton/”ha.year”. The topography factor in the study area with the correlation coefficient of 80% had the greatest effect on the estimation of annual soil erosion by the RUSLE model. This research corroborate the effectiveness of modern GIS technologies and remote sensing in temporal simulation for quantitative, exact, and point-to-point estimates in the whole area to obtain soil erosion content.
