Trend analysis of streamflow in Karkheh Rivers upstream: An evidence for climate change impacts on water resources systems
Volume 68, Issue 3, Autumn 2015, Pages 659-674
https://doi.org/10.22059/jrwm.2015.56344
Khaled Osati, Ali Salajegheh, Mohammad Mahdavi, Paul Koeniger, Kamran Chapi, Arash Malekian
Abstract Within the climate change debate and its probable impacts on water resources systems, design and operation of management plans based on the assumption of stationary hydrology may cause serious challenge to accurately predict future supplies. Therefore this case study is trying to assess trend in hydroclimatic variables of Karkheh Rivers upstream by applying modified Mann-Kendall trend test on long term daily time series of temperature, precipitation and discharge. Temperature variables are mostly showing meaningful increasing trends but observed changes in assessed stations were not spatially uniform for precipitation. Streamflow variables depict a decreasing trend, though more noticeable in base flows. Decreasing trend is meaningful for annual discharge median in Holailan at 90% confidence level. Total yearly precipitation, number of precipitation days and number of days with precipitation equal to, or greater than, 10 mm/d show the most correlation with stream flow variables. Comparing monthly discharge with temperature and precipitation variables in the studied gages indicates a time-delay in system response to inputs. This may related to snowmelt contributions or contributions of water into streams after passing through different hydrological pathways such as groundwater. Some parts of streamflow changes, especially about base flows, is not completely verified by precipitation changes and can be attributed to changes in temperature or another factors such as groundwater overexploitation.
Analysis of Intra-Storm Suspended Sediment Delivery Processes from Different Tributaries to the Lake Zarivar using Hysteresis Patterns
Volume 68, Issue 2, Summer 2015, Pages 323-340
https://doi.org/10.22059/jrwm.2015.54933
Seyed Hamidreza Sadeghi, Shirkouh Ebrahimi Mohammadi, Kamran Chapi
Abstract The behavior of suspended sediment during flood events is not only a function of energy conditions, i.e. sediment is stored at low flow and transported under high flow conditions, but also is related to the variations in sediment supply and sediment depletion. These changes in sediment availability result in so-called hysteresis effects. Therefore, Hysteresis pattern analysis is of great importance in sediment studies in the watersheds. However, their analyses has been rarely considered. In this study, based on the discharge and sediment concentration data collected from 8 storm events occurred during March 2 011 to April 2012, event suspended sediment dynamics of 7 tributaries of the Lake Zarivar watershed was investigated using hysteresis patterns. Based on the fact that all sampling points were not active in all events, about 46 hysteresis patterns were obtained. The analysis of results showed that 16, 13, 11, and 6 events had clockwise, irregular, complex and counterclockwise patterns, respectively. Small tributaries of the Zarivar lake watershed showed the rapid responses to the variation of storm intensity and the most hydrographs of different storms were multi peak discharges and consequently high suspended sediment variations led to different hysteresis patterns. The diversity of patterns suggested that the detailed processes of sediment transport were not only complicated during one event but also varied from event to event. The reasonable and statistically significant relationship (p<0.05) between suspended sediment yield and peak discharge of each sampling point indicated that the data from all events may be statistically well described by a simple regression equation, regardless of different inter and intra-storm variations of the suspended sediment.
