Maryam Azarakhshi; Jalil Farzadmehr
Abstract
Meteorological drought affects the water resources of the basin with a time delay, which leads to the occurrence of hydrological drought. Assessment of rainfall variability and drought is necessary to determine the existing water crisis and water resources management. This study was done in 42 watersheds ...
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Meteorological drought affects the water resources of the basin with a time delay, which leads to the occurrence of hydrological drought. Assessment of rainfall variability and drought is necessary to determine the existing water crisis and water resources management. This study was done in 42 watersheds of Khorasan Razavi province during 1975 to 2015 years to determine the temporal relationship between meteorological and hydrological drought. The hydrological drought severity was calculated with SDI index and meteorological drought was calculated with SPI index. The trend of precipitation and discharge was investigated with Mann-Kendall test. The temporal relationship between the mentioned indices was studied with Pearson correlation coefficient as simultaneously and with a time delay from one to 12 months. The results of Mann- Kendall test were indicative the negative trend of discharge in all watersheds and the most negative slop (-0.052) occurs in PolKhaton watershed. A combination of positive and negative trends in precipitation changes was observed in the study areas. However, the calculated positive trends were not significant at the 95% level in any of the watersheds. In 36.5% of the studied watersheds, no significant correlation coefficients were obtained at 95% level between SDI and SPI. In 60% of the studied watersheds, the highest correlation coefficient between precipitation and discharge with one-month delay, in 25% of watersheds without time delay, in 12.5% of watersheds with 2 months’ time delay and in 2.5% of watersheds with a time delay of 12 months were obtained.
Maryam Azarakhshi; Jalil Farzadmehr; Mahdi Eslah; Hossein Sahabi
Abstract
Climate change is defined as long term and irreversible changes in the climatic behaviorof a region. Many studies have been conducted in different regions of the world on climatechange. The results of these studies show considerable changes in climatic factors especiallyin precipitation and temperature. ...
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Climate change is defined as long term and irreversible changes in the climatic behaviorof a region. Many studies have been conducted in different regions of the world on climatechange. The results of these studies show considerable changes in climatic factors especiallyin precipitation and temperature. In this research, the trend of changes in annual and seasonalrainfall and temperature in 24 synoptic stations over a 50-year data period (1956-2005) wasinvestigated in Iran. The Mann- Kendall test and linear regression technique were used to analyzethe trend of changes in climatic factors. The results showed both increasing and decreasingtrends in annual rainfall at various regions of Iran. Annual rainfall in northern slopes of Alborzand western slopes of the Zagros Mountain as well as in eastern and southeast parts of Iran hada decreasing trend while in the central of Iran the trend of changes was increasing. In southernregion of Iran the rainfall had an increasing trend. The results also showed that temperature inmost of the studied stations over the considered period was increasing. The highest and lowestchanges in temperature were seen in the mean temperature of summer and winter, respectively.Ahwaz and Khorramabad stations had a decreasing trend and over all seasons would go towardmore cooling. The temperature trend in Oromiye was decreasing in autumn and summer whileShahrekord and Bandar abbas had the same trend in summer and winter.
