Mohsen Adeli Sardooei; Ali Asadi; Khalil Khalil; Ali Akbar Barati; Hassan Khosravi
Abstract
Evaluating of the development of crops based on water needs along with detecting and predicting land use changes will provide a clear picture of changes in water resources and anthropogenic effects of the agricultural sector for environmental planners to plan more consciously in the field of water and ...
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Evaluating of the development of crops based on water needs along with detecting and predicting land use changes will provide a clear picture of changes in water resources and anthropogenic effects of the agricultural sector for environmental planners to plan more consciously in the field of water and soil conservation, Therefore, the current study was conducted with two general objectives. The first goal was to examine land use in the past and predict land use in the future using the Land Change Modeler (LCM) and logistic regression method. Detecting land use changes was performed using Landsat satellite images including sensors of TM (1990), ETM+ (2001) and OLI (2019). The second object of the study was to examine the development trend of agricultural products in terms of water needs in the last three decades, which was examined based on databases of the Agricultural Jihad Organization (AJO). The transition potential modelling was performed based on logistic regression method and variables of digital elevation model (DEM), slope, aspect, geology, the distance from fault, the distance from road, the distance from river, distance from residential lands, NDVI and land use was predicted using Markov chain in future. Also, the trend of changes in the area under cultivation of major crops based on water needs in Jiroft plain was studied based on the data of the last three decades and the data of the National Irrigation Document, which has been less considered by researchers in land use change studies.
Farshad Soleimani; Naser Brumand; ali azareh
Abstract
In recent decades, increasing population growth and development of agriculture have increased groundwater consumption and decreased the quality of groundwater resources of most parts of the country. Given the importance of this issue, present study investigates the spatial and temporal changes in parameters ...
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In recent decades, increasing population growth and development of agriculture have increased groundwater consumption and decreased the quality of groundwater resources of most parts of the country. Given the importance of this issue, present study investigates the spatial and temporal changes in parameters of calcium, magnesium, pH, chloride, sodium sulfate and water in Jiroft plain. The data was obtained from 40 wells in the region of Kerman province over which in 2002-2012 water harvesting and qualitative analysis had been done. In this regard, after normalizing the data, the accuracy of different geo-statistical methods including the Kriging and inverse distance weighted were evaluated and then the map of the spatial zoning was prepared in the software quality parameters ArcGIS9.3 using the best method of interpolation. The results showed that the amount of pH, Sodium, Chlorine, and Sulfate increased but the amount of calcium and magnesium declined. But in general, in 2012the quality of groundwater resources of Jiroft plain decreased compared to 2002 and the trend of changes showed water quality reduces toward the South and West.