• Register
  • Login
  • Persian

Journal of Range and Watershed Managment

  1. Home
  2. Anticipating of spatial changes trend of land uses based on the cellular automaton-Markov model in Kessillian watershed

Current Issue

By Issue

By Author

Author Index

Keyword Index

About Journal

Aims and Scope

Editorial Board

Publication Ethics

Indexing and Abstracting

Related Links

FAQ

Peer Review Process

News

Journal Metric

Superior reviewers

Reviewers

Guide for Reviewers

Anticipating of spatial changes trend of land uses based on the cellular automaton-Markov model in Kessillian watershed

    Authors

    • M Zare
    • Aliakbar Nazari Samani
    • shahram khalighi
    • javad bazrafshan
    • mohsen hasan joury

    Karaj

,

Document Type : Research Paper

10.22059/jrwm.2017.123681.868
  • Article Information
  • References
  • Download
  • How to cite
  • Statistics
  • Share

Abstract

Land use Changes have recently been increasing due to anthropogenic and climatic factors. Natural resources management critically needs land use maps and simulation of its changes for understanding the interaction and relationship between humans and natural phenomena, as well as for making premium decisions. Accordingly, present study has dealth with simulation of future changes land use of Kessillian watershed. Hence, land-use and land cover maps of the catchment was prepared by using multi-period Landsat images captured in 1986, 2000, and 2011. Then, applying cellular automaton and Markov model, the land-use/land cover condition in 2011 was predicted 0.9 using ROC. Thereafter, this model was run for simulating land-use/land cover changes in 2030. According to the results of detection and simulation of changes, forest land reduction trend will continue but the area of rangelands and inhabited areas will expand. Agricultural lands will not seriously change due to steep slope and low fertility after several consequent plantings. In most cases, maximum changes occurred around the forest and rangeland areas and changes will decrease far from these margins. Markov model can precisely show the land changes in the area via time period and can anticipate the future of them. Therefore, this model can be applied in order to manage the land.

Keywords

  • "land-use change"
  • "cellular automaton"
  • "Markov model"
  • "RS"
  • "Kessillian"
  • "watershed"
  • XML
  • PDF 679.8 K
  • RIS
  • EndNote
  • Mendeley
  • BibTeX
  • APA
  • MLA
  • HARVARD
  • VANCOUVER
References
[1] Alimohammadi, A., Mosivand, A. and Shayan, S. (2009). Prediction of Land use and Land cover change by using remot sensing and markov chain. International Journal of Human-planning and preparation space, 14(2), 1-14 (In Persian).
[2] Anderson, J. R., E. Hardey, E., Roach, J. and Witmer, R.E. (1976). A land use and land cover classification system for use with remote sensor data. US geological survey professional paper, Washington, DC, 964, 28 p.
[3] Bonyad, A. and Taha, H. (2008). Natural forest map Zanjan by using landsat data 7, Journal of Sciences and Technology of Agriculture and Natural Resources, 11, 627-638 (In Persian).
[4] Brown, D. G., Pijanowski, B. C. and Duh, D. J. (2000). Modeling the relationships between land use and land cover on private lands in the Upper Midwest,  Journal of Environmental Management 59, 247-263.
[5] Chilar J. (2000). Land cover mapping of large areas from satellites: status and research priorities. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 21(67), 1093 – 1114.
[6] Fan, F., Wang, Q. and Wang, Y. (2007). Land use and land cover change in Guangzhou, Chaina, from 1998 to 2003, based on landsat TM/ETM+ imagery, 7, 1323-1342.
[7] Guan, D., Li, H., Inohae, T., Su, W., Nagaie, T. and Hokao, K.(2011). Modeling urban land use change by the integration of cellular automaton and Markov model, Ecological Modelling, 222, 3761-3772.
[8] Hathout, S. (2002). The use of GIS for monitoring and predicting urban growth in East and West St Paul, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada. Journal of Environmental Management 66, 229-238.
[9] Khoshgofta, M. and Talei, M. (2010). Simulating Urban Growth in Tehran, CA-Markov Model, Iranian Journal of Remote Sencing & GIS, 2(6), 17-34 (In Persian).
[10] Kityuttachai, K., Tripathi, N., Tipdecho, T. and Shreshta, R. (2013). CA-Markov Analysis of Constrained Coastal Urban Growth Modeling: Hua Hin Seaside City, Thailand, Sustainability, 5, 1480-1500; doi:10.3390/su5041480
[11] Mendoza, M., Granados, E., Geneletti, D., Perez-Salicrup, D. and Salinas, V. (2011). Analysing land cover and land use change processes at watershed level: a multitemporal study in the Lake Cuitzeo Watershed, Mexico (1975–2003). Appl. Geogr, 31, 237–250.
[12] Miao, C.Y., Yang, L. and Chen, X.H. (2012). The vegetation cover dynamics (1982–2006) in different erosion regions of the Yellow River basin, China. Land Degradation & Development, 23 (1), 62–71.
[13] Mohseni, B., Ahmadi, J. and Tahmasbi, R. (2011). Evaluation EPM, MPSIAC and Geomorphology model in estimate sediment and erosin(Case study: Kasilian catchment), Geography and Development Iranian Journal, 22, 107-127 (In Persian).
[14] Nefeslioglu, H.A., Duman T.Y. and Durmaz, S. (2008). Landslide susceptibility mapping for a part of tectonic Kelkit Valley (Easten Black Sea Region of Turkey). Geomorphology, 94, 401-418.
[15] Niazi, Y., Ekhtesasi, M., Maleki nejad, H. and Hosseiny, S. (2011). Comparison of maximum likelihood classification method and artificial neural network mining land use map, Journal of Geography and development, 20, 119-132 (In Persian).
[16] Pirbavaghar, M. (2004). Investigating forest extent changes and related topographic and human factors (case study: eastern forests of Gilan). M.Sc. Thesis, University of Tehran, 136 p (In Persian).
[17] Wang, D., Gong, J., Chen, L., Zhang, L., Song, Y. and Yue, Y. (2013). Comparative analysis of land use/cover change trajectories and their driving forces in two small watersheds in the western Loess Plateau of China, International journal of applied earth observation and geoinformation, 21, 241-252.
[18] White, R. and Engelen, G. (2000). High-resolution integrated modelling of the spatial dynamics of urban and regional systems, Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 24, 383-400.
[19] Zare, A. G., Sheikh, V., Sadoddin, A., Mahiny, S. (2012). Simulating the spatiotemporal changes of forest extent for the Chehelchay watershed (Golestan province), using integrated CA-Markov model, Iranian Journal of Forest and Poplar Research, 20(2), 273-285 (In Persian).
    • Article View: 483
    • PDF Download: 357
Journal of Range and Watershed Managment
Volume 70, Issue 2
August 2017
Pages 373-383
Files
  • XML
  • PDF 679.8 K
History
  • Receive Date: 23 June 2015
  • Revise Date: 07 September 2015
  • Accept Date: 08 September 2015
  • First Publish Date: 23 July 2017
Share
How to cite
  • RIS
  • EndNote
  • Mendeley
  • BibTeX
  • APA
  • MLA
  • HARVARD
  • VANCOUVER
Statistics
  • Article View: 483
  • PDF Download: 357

APA

Zare, M., Nazari Samani, A., khalighi, S., bazrafshan, J., & hasan joury, M. (2017). Anticipating of spatial changes trend of land uses based on the cellular automaton-Markov model in Kessillian watershed. Journal of Range and Watershed Managment, 70(2), 373-383. doi: 10.22059/jrwm.2017.123681.868

MLA

M Zare; Aliakbar Nazari Samani; shahram khalighi; javad bazrafshan; mohsen hasan joury. "Anticipating of spatial changes trend of land uses based on the cellular automaton-Markov model in Kessillian watershed". Journal of Range and Watershed Managment, 70, 2, 2017, 373-383. doi: 10.22059/jrwm.2017.123681.868

HARVARD

Zare, M., Nazari Samani, A., khalighi, S., bazrafshan, J., hasan joury, M. (2017). 'Anticipating of spatial changes trend of land uses based on the cellular automaton-Markov model in Kessillian watershed', Journal of Range and Watershed Managment, 70(2), pp. 373-383. doi: 10.22059/jrwm.2017.123681.868

VANCOUVER

Zare, M., Nazari Samani, A., khalighi, S., bazrafshan, J., hasan joury, M. Anticipating of spatial changes trend of land uses based on the cellular automaton-Markov model in Kessillian watershed. Journal of Range and Watershed Managment, 2017; 70(2): 373-383. doi: 10.22059/jrwm.2017.123681.868

  • Home
  • About Journal
  • Editorial Board
  • Submit Manuscript
  • Contact Us
  • Glossary
  • Sitemap

News

  • Publication fee 2021-09-23

Newsletter Subscription

Subscribe to the journal newsletter and receive the latest news and updates

© Journal Management System. Powered by Sinaweb