saeid khosrobeigi bozchelui; Arash Malekian; Alireza Moghaddam Nia; Shahra,m Khalighi
Abstract
Flood is one of the most devastating natural disasters, causing financial and human losses each year. At the same time, many rivers in Iran's watersheds lack complete and accurate statistics and information. On the other hand, estimating the flow of floods is one of the most important factors for the ...
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Flood is one of the most devastating natural disasters, causing financial and human losses each year. At the same time, many rivers in Iran's watersheds lack complete and accurate statistics and information. On the other hand, estimating the flow of floods is one of the most important factors for the design and implementation of water structures. In such cases, one of the appropriate solutions to estimate the maximum flow rate with different return periods is flood analysis. In order to conduct the present study, 55 hydrometric stations with a common statistical period of 20 years were considered to perform the work after the statistical deficiencies were eliminated. Then, based on the distribution of the third type of Pearson logo with the lowest error rate and the highest number of first rank as the most suitable fit function, the amount of discharge in different return periods was estimated. The following information was collected on the types of physiography, land use, climate and geology variables. After collecting information about all independent variables using Gamma test, the most important variables affecting the maximum instantaneous flow, including area, drainage density, maximum 24-hour rainfall and watershed environment, were selected and modeled using methods. Random forest modeling and support vector modeling were performed and their efficiency was determined based on statistical indicators With an efficiency coefficient of 74 to 83%, the error of 3.05 to 32.11 m3 and the coefficient of explanation of 76 to 91 are more accurate than the random forest model.
Esmatullah Ghaljaee; Shahram Khalighi-Sigaroodi; Alireza Moghaddam Nia; Arash Malekian
Abstract
Reliable estimation of precipitation is one of the most essential needs in water resources management. However, in many parts of the world, especially in Iran, the lack of time and place of rainfall data is very noticeable. Therefore, the use of satellite information is one of the ways to compensate ...
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Reliable estimation of precipitation is one of the most essential needs in water resources management. However, in many parts of the world, especially in Iran, the lack of time and place of rainfall data is very noticeable. Therefore, the use of satellite information is one of the ways to compensate for the lack of information. The purpose of this research is to compare the accuracy of rainfall information of TRMM-3B42 and PERSIANN-CDR products on a daily scale. The products of these two satellites are available daily for free in the pixel size of 0.25 degrees. The daily rainfall of 12 stations in the southern slopes of Alborz in a statistical period of 2000-2014 was used. The results show that these two satellite products are not the same in different statistical parameters, so that CDR and 3B42 have estimated 100% and 25% more rainfall events than the stations, respectively. Also, PERSIANN satellite is significantly superior to 3B42 in terms of RMSE, POD and CSI parameters, but on the other hand, it is weaker in terms of Bias and FAR parameters. Therefore, the selection of the desired satellite product should be based on the proper parameters.
Sadegh Dalfardi; Ali Salajegheh; Alireza Moghaddam Nia; Mohammad Danesh Yazdi; Hossein Hashemi
Abstract
Accurate slope map and the governing river network of a river basin are key inputs of hydrologic models. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effectiveness of the PriorityFlow tool in topographic data processing with the aim of improving slope map extraction in the eastern Faryab Basin. PriorityFlow ...
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Accurate slope map and the governing river network of a river basin are key inputs of hydrologic models. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effectiveness of the PriorityFlow tool in topographic data processing with the aim of improving slope map extraction in the eastern Faryab Basin. PriorityFlow is a tool in the R programming environment, which aims to generate the correct slope map and to form a network of continuous pathways that matches the observed river network. To process the digital elevation model and prepare the slope map, three input files were used, including the digital elevation model, the representative map of the watershed and the representative map of the observed river network of the study area. After producing the slope map using this package, the obtained results were compared with the outputs obtained from other traditional tools available in the Parflow hydrological model. Specifically, the river network map related to the two slope maps were extracted by the Parflow model under the condition of very low permeability of the domain surface and compared with the observed river network of the study basin. The results showed that the slope map produced by the PriorityFlow tool has led to the production of a more accurate river network that matches the real river network of the eastern Faryab basin. Also, this software package is able to produce the slope map with enhanced accuracy and based on non-diagonal connections along the cell levels in the digital elevation model of the study area.
Fariba Zakizadeh; Alireza Moghaddam Nia; Ali Salajegheh; Abdollah Ardeshir
Abstract
Over the past few decades due to population growth and urban development, urban runoff has increased and led to different problems such as inundation of urban pathways, dissemination of environmental pollutions and flood hazards. In order to urban runoff management, it is necessary to estimate runoff ...
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Over the past few decades due to population growth and urban development, urban runoff has increased and led to different problems such as inundation of urban pathways, dissemination of environmental pollutions and flood hazards. In order to urban runoff management, it is necessary to estimate runoff rate correctly. SWMM is one of the most widely used models in estimating urban runoff. The goal of this research is to evaluate the performance of SWMM model in simulating flow rate in an urban watershed in District 22 of Tehran. At first, model required parameters were calculated. For model evaluation and validation, in three events, runoff was measured in the watershed outlet and was compared with simulated runoff. The model validation results showed that the simulated flow rates had good adaptation with the observed ones. The validation results were used for estimating optimum values of model input parameters. The results of SWMM model evaluation confirm model accuracy with NS= 0.72 and RSR= 0.53 and indicate the model ability in simulating urban runoff. So, SWMM model can be used for urban runoff management plans and designing urban runoff drainage networks in this area.
Kourosh Kamali; Gholamreza Zehtabian; TAYYEBEH MESBAHZADEH; Hosein Shahab Arkhazloo; Mahmood Arabkhedri; Alireza Moghaddam Nia
Abstract
The sustainability of soil, especially in fragile ecosystems, is an indispensable indicator of sustainable land management that depends on the physical, chemical and biological properties of the soil. In order to study the soil sustainability in Semnan desert region of farms, gardens and rangelands as ...
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The sustainability of soil, especially in fragile ecosystems, is an indispensable indicator of sustainable land management that depends on the physical, chemical and biological properties of the soil. In order to study the soil sustainability in Semnan desert region of farms, gardens and rangelands as arenas located on an educational farm with different irrigation administrations, the Sustainability Index (SI) and the Cumulative Ranting (CR9 &CR11) were used. Exploring the crust and sampling of surface and subsurface horizons of selected areas and measuring 12 important and effective characteristics of soil physical properties, the indices were calculated in each area and the effects of different types of land use on soil stability were investigated. The results showed that the SI in the surface layer of arable land due to the impact of cultivation and the positive role of organic matter was above one, and in the rest of the land was less than one which indicating the instability of the soil. According to the CR results, surface and subsurface layers of soil were not found in very stable and stable classes in the studied lands. The CR results also showed that the stability soil in the multi cultivates farm is a better condition, it may be due to its positive role in increasing soil correction factors compared to other lands. Correlation analysis of the indices showed that soil organic carbon, structural index, electrical conductivity, sodium adsorption ratio and mean weight diameter have a direct and more effective impact on soil sustainability.
Seid Saeid Ghiasi; Sadat Feiznia; Alireza moghadam nia; Ali Najafinejad; Somayye Najirad
Abstract
Landslide susceptibility assessment is a primary tool for understanding the basic characteristics of slopes that are prone to landslides. In this study, a landslide susceptibility assessment was accomplished, by adopting the Statistical Index Method (SIM) and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Ten ...
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Landslide susceptibility assessment is a primary tool for understanding the basic characteristics of slopes that are prone to landslides. In this study, a landslide susceptibility assessment was accomplished, by adopting the Statistical Index Method (SIM) and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Ten landslide causing factors were considered including: elevation, slope, aspect, lithology, land use, drainage density, plan curvature, precipitation, geomorphologic faces, and rock unit’s sensitivity to erosion. The SIM was used to determine the weighted value (Si) for classes of every landslide causing factor, the AHP was utilized to determine the weighted value (Wi) for every factor. The summation of the product of Si by Wi represent the landslide Susceptibility Index (LSI) value for every pixels. Based on the derived LSI, landslide susceptibility map (LSM) was produced then the study area was grouped into five susceptibility classes. The densities of landslide for five susceptibility classes implying there is a satisfactory agreement between the susceptibility map and the actual landslide data. In the following, the results of the LSM were quantitatively validated using observed landslide dataset and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) method. The validation results showed that the AUC for prediction rate of model was 95.2%. The landslide susceptibility showed the areas with lithology of old terraces, young terraces, lahar, and porphyritic trachyandesite-trachyte with different degrees of sensitivity to erosion which distribute between 10–40% slope and more than 60% are very prone to slope failure. Therefore, SIM and AHP were found to be effective models for landslide susceptibility mapping.
Azam Tabarzadi; Meghdad Jourgholami; Alireza Moghaddam Nia; Baris Majnounian Garagiz; Pedram Attarod
Abstract
Many environmental challenges such as stormwater runoff and flood risk, chemical and particulate pollution of urban air, soil and water, the urban heat island, and summer heat waves are exacerbated in urban environments. Runoff from heavy rainfall in many parts of the world lead to erosion, sedimentation ...
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Many environmental challenges such as stormwater runoff and flood risk, chemical and particulate pollution of urban air, soil and water, the urban heat island, and summer heat waves are exacerbated in urban environments. Runoff from heavy rainfall in many parts of the world lead to erosion, sedimentation and transportation of elements that forest covers is the most important factor in controlling it. In this research, the qualitative and quantitative characteristics of runoff in Chitgar forest park have been investigated. For this purpose, runoff discharge, physicochemical parameters including total suspended solids, total dissolved solids, pH, and chemical parameters including calcium, magnesium, sodium, potassium, nitrate and phosphate were measured and analyzed during three storm events. The results of the present study indicated that the average values of the measured parameters were 1988.3 l / h, 40.64 mg/l, 2064.8 mg/l, 7.75, 2.95 mg/l, 2.23 mg/l, 584.4 mg/l, 5.71 mg/l, 1.36 mg/l, and 0.71 mg / l. Also, the correlation between parameters showed that there was a strong relationship between measured parameters, with the highest correlations between calcium with discharge (0.66) and total dissolved solids (0.69) and sodium with pH (0.7) and total dissolved solids (0.65). Comparison of the results obtained from this study and with those of other studies on water quality status of different rivers indicates that the qualitative pattern of urban runoff and also the relationships among the qualitative parameters of urban runoff are very different from surface runoff of rivers.
Mohammad Bashirgonbad; Alireza Moghaddam Nia; Shahram Khalighi Sigaroodi; Mohammad Mahdavi; Emmanuel Paquet; Michel Lang
Abstract
There are many methods for estimating the maximum flood discharge including frequency analysis methods and risk study of hydraulic structures based on flood frequency analysis is often sensitive to the observations and selected statistical distribution that cause errors in design. Since heavy rainfalls ...
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There are many methods for estimating the maximum flood discharge including frequency analysis methods and risk study of hydraulic structures based on flood frequency analysis is often sensitive to the observations and selected statistical distribution that cause errors in design. Since heavy rainfalls are the main cause of floods and the rainfall records are longer than flow records, hence long-term records of rainfall at rain gauge stations of Bakhtiary basin in a 66-year period and the 58-year records of daily maximum discharge were used in this study. In this research, peak and maximum daily flows were estimated by using hydro-climatic methods of Agregee and Gradex. Then, the results obtained from the simulation based on hydro-climatic approach for the different return periods were compared with those of classical statistical techniques of Gumbel and Generalized Extreme Values (GEV). The results showed that using additional information like rainfall data plus hydrometric data in hydro-climatic methods gives better estimates rather than frequency analysis methods. Because each three evaluation criteria of Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) coefficient, Kling-Gupta efficiency (KGE) coefficient confirm performance of hydro-climatic methods in comparison with Gumbel and Generalized Extreme Values (GEV) distributions. Finally, a peak to volume ratio extracted from the 26 major flood events detected at Tang-e panj hydrometric station within the hourly discharge records was used to transform the cumulative distribution function of daily discharge into peak discharge.
Pouyan Dehghan; Hossein Azarnivand; Hassan Khosravi; Gholamreza Zehtabian; Alireza Moghaddam Nia
Abstract
The excessive reducing capacity of natural resources is one of the most important challenges that human beings have faced it in the last century. Proper land use and land use management based on its ecological potential play an important role in achieving sustainable development. Hence, in order to achieve ...
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The excessive reducing capacity of natural resources is one of the most important challenges that human beings have faced it in the last century. Proper land use and land use management based on its ecological potential play an important role in achieving sustainable development. Hence, in order to achieve sustainable development and in order to use land appropriately, tendencies should be directed towards the planning and utilization of resources on the basis of their resources. Therefore, since agriculture has a great deal of environmental impact on urban areas, the evaluation of agricultural lands is necessary. The aim of this study is evaluation of ecological potential of land in Eshtehard in terms of agriculture and rangelands. For this purpose, the ecological potential of the lands of Eshtehard was evaluated using ecological criteria and using Fuzzy, Fuzzy AHP methods and Geographic Information System (GIS). The Fuzzy method was used to standardize the layers and also to assign weight to each of the indices used by Fuzzy AHP method. The results of this study showed that class 1 lands with 1.50% is the lowest and the class 4 lands with 25.36% of the total area of the study area has the biggest area. The results of the analysis in this study indicate the high efficiency of Fuzzy AHP method in assessing the ecological potential of the area and can be used with changes necessary for other areas and also other location actives.
sara Edrisnia; Ahmad Pahlevanroy; Alireza Moghadamnia; Aliakbar Nazarisamani; Abas Miri
Abstract
In Low rainfall, dry areas such as Iran that surface fresh water resources are limited and this water is exposed to pollution risk, finding and preserving underground water supplies is the best way for removing water needs. In addition, in some parts of Iran, climate and tectonic structure have created ...
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In Low rainfall, dry areas such as Iran that surface fresh water resources are limited and this water is exposed to pollution risk, finding and preserving underground water supplies is the best way for removing water needs. In addition, in some parts of Iran, climate and tectonic structure have created good conditions for forming karstic table. Following America, China and Turkey, Iran has the highest percentage of karst and more than eleven percent of Iran’s area is covered by karstic constructors.The purpose of this study is exploring the relationship between lineaments extracted from satellite imageries, tectonic elements, hydrography network and topography factors with Karstic water resources abundance in Maharloo using GIS and remote sensing. Information layers including lineaments, range curvature, elevation classes, slope, vegetation, springs, tectonic elements and hydrography network were provided through field visits, topographic maps, geology, satellite imagery and digital models. Findings were analysed with statistical tests such as Chi square, Pearson correlation coefficient, PCA test, and principal component analysis. It was found out that there is a close tie between formation type, topography (egslope, elevation and range curvature), lineaments and hydrological factors with spring abundance. The significant role of environmental and structural factors drives the necessity of paying attention to them in investigation of the abundance of springs and transmission of groundwater in Karstik areas.
heydar ebrahimi; Alireza Moghaddam Nia; Haji Karimi
Abstract
The runoff simulation in a watershed provides insight on the processes affecting runoff generation and the stream flow characteristics like spatial and temporal variability of stream flow. This insight helps managers and planners in informed decision-makings on water resources management and planning. ...
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The runoff simulation in a watershed provides insight on the processes affecting runoff generation and the stream flow characteristics like spatial and temporal variability of stream flow. This insight helps managers and planners in informed decision-makings on water resources management and planning. The objective of this study is to compare the performances of the complex SWAT model and the simple IHACRES model for simulating runoff in the Doiraj river basin, Ilam province. For this purpose, SWAT model due to having many parameters affecting stream flow and the use of GIS, and IHACRES model due to the low and easy access data requirements, are very practical. In this study, the data over a period from 1994 to 2004 and the statistical criteria of R2, bR2, and NS were used to evaluate performances of IHACRES and SWAT models. For IHACRES model, values of R2, bR2 and NS were estimated equal to 0.34, 0.112 and 0.33, respectively for calibration period and values of 0.47, 0.235 and 0.43, respectively for validation period. In addition, for SWAT model, the coefficients were estimated equal to 0.41, 0.314 and 0.12 respectively, for calibration period and values of 0.68, 0.632 and 0.56, respectively for validation period. Final results of this study showed higher performance of SWAT model relative to IHACRES model for simulating daily runoff in Doiraj river basin and can be used to simulate runoff in the watersheds with limited data and similar natural conditions.
Afshin Jahanshahi; Alireza Moghaddamnia; Hasan Khosravi
Abstract
To assessment and preparation of desertification mapping, much research has been conducted ever within and outside the country that has led to numerous regional models. To provide a regional model and quantitative assessment of current state of desertification, ShahrBabak plain with an area of 4112 square ...
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To assessment and preparation of desertification mapping, much research has been conducted ever within and outside the country that has led to numerous regional models. To provide a regional model and quantitative assessment of current state of desertification, ShahrBabak plain with an area of 4112 square kilometers (Km2) located in the Northwest of Kerman province were considered. In this study, to assess the severity of desertification using thirteen indices that five of them based on groundwater and include: electrical conductivity (EC), sodium absorption ratio (SAR), chloride (Cl), drop of groundwater and water table depth and three of them based on climate data and included: annual rainfall, Transeau drought index, drought index and also three of them based on vegetation and included: Conditions, exploitation and restoration of vegetation, water erosion and irrigation methods in format of desertification Iranian model IMDPA to investigation and determine the class of desertification intensity were done in each of work units. The final score of each of work units and then total area were determined using Geometric average from any of the mentioned indices. Finally the current status of desertification intensity classes were estimated in low, medium, high and very high classes. The results indicated that in the regional proposed model, the study area with respect to intensity of desertification is placed in about 61351 ha (14.92 %) in low class and about 138575 ha (33.7%) in medium class, about 117685 ha (28.62 %) in high class and about 93589 ha (22.76 %) in very high class. Also the weight average of quantitative value estimated 2.06 in total area that it indicated the medium desertification class in the total area.
Elham Kakaei Lafdani; Ali Reza Moghaddam Nia; Azadeh Ahmadi; Heydar Ebrahimi
Abstract
This study aimed to examine the influence of pre-processing input variables by Gamma Test on performance of Support Vector Machine in order to predict the suspended sediment amount of Doiraj River, located in Ilam Province from 1994-2004. The flow discharge and rainfall were considered as the input variables ...
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This study aimed to examine the influence of pre-processing input variables by Gamma Test on performance of Support Vector Machine in order to predict the suspended sediment amount of Doiraj River, located in Ilam Province from 1994-2004. The flow discharge and rainfall were considered as the input variables and sediment discharge as the output model. Also, the duration of the model training period was determined through GT. Thereafter, in order to carry out the influence of pre-processing input variables on performance of model, the suspended sediment was predicted using SVM model while no pre-processing has been done on its input variables and the results were compared to each other. Results show the performance of the GT-SVM model in the test phase with minimum RMSE was equal to 0.96 (ton/day) and the maximum coefficient of R2 was equal to 0.98 between the predicted and actual values, was better than SVM model.
